October 11, 2017 – 5:10 pm (local time +12 EST) – Ningbo, China
I wasn’t Expecting to Have to do Math
I have always been interested in the workout behaviors of others, especially while I am working out. I think this interest arises from a total lack of confidence in myself to be exercising correctly. I just assume that I am doing something wrong and everyone else must be doing it right. While alone in the small hotel gym Sunday morning, I was running on the treadmill, when in walked an older Chinese lady. She proceeded to get a yoga mat and immediately went into a ten minute high plank (yes I timed her). After her planking routine, she briefly stretched her legs, as if preparing for a long run and then jumped the treadmill next to me, even though there were several buffer treadmill options (ideas about personal space are different all over the world). She proceeded to mildly walk on the treadmill for exactly two minutes and then dipped, strange. Anyway, about six minutes into my run, I look at the distance and it says 1.0. I am thinking, wow, that was the first time I ran a six minute mile since high school and I feel great. It wasn’t 10 seconds after this thought form crossed my mind that I realized, the treadmill was in kilometers. So there I am running way off pace and trying to calculate the remainder of my workout in my mind. A typical workout for me would be to run 4 miles in 33 minutes and at my current pace, I quickly realized that I was way behind. How do I catch-up, what do I need my pace to be, struggling with the mental gymnastics, I ultimately caved to a calculator. I can only imagine how stupid I looked calculating my speed and remaining distance as I ran.
Traveler tip for treadmills calibrated for in kilometers:
MPH | km/hr | Min/Mile | Min/Km | 3 miles | 5 Km | 10 Km | Half Mara |
3 | 4.8 | 0:20:00 | 0:12:26 | 1:00:00 | 1:02:08 | 2:04:16 | 4:22:13 |
4 | 6.4 | 0:15:00 | 0:09:19 | 0:45:00 | 0:46:36 | 1:33:12 | 3:16:40 |
5 | 8 | 0:12:00 | 0:07:27 | 0:36:00 | 0:37:17 | 1:14:34 | 2:37:20 |
6 | 9.7 | 0:10:00 | 0:06:13 | 0:30:00 | 0:31:04 | 1:02:08 | 2:11:07 |
7 | 11.3 | 0:08:34 | 0:05:20 | 0:25:43 | 0:26:38 | 0:53:16 | 1:52:23 |
8 | 12.9 | 0:07:30 | 0:04:40 | 0:22:30 | 0:23:18 | 0:46:36 | 1:38:20 |
9 | 14.5 | 0:06:40 | 0:04:09 | 0:20:00 | 0:20:43 | 0:41:25 | 1:27:24 |
If you want to compare yourself to my Sunday run in Hong Kong, I ran 7 km in 38:30. I will let you do the conversion math.
I No Longer Recognize this Place
It has been three years since I was last in China and the changes are staggering. If I think about my first trip to China in 2003 when working for Stanley, it’s like being on a different planet now. In the past three days I have spent each day at a different factory in China. On these factory visits I get to interact with all levels from the factory janitor to the owner and everyone in between. Here are my top three biggest observations about the changes and challenges that China is undergoing.
China Doesn’t Hate the Environment
The Chinese government is cracking down on environmental standards and requirements at manufacturing facilities of all sizes. At all three factories I visited, the management was quick to point out all of the new health and safety and environmental equipment that they had installed. They were also proud of passing routine government inspections and spoke at length about the continued enhancements that would be made in the future. Many of these owners are young, some are millennials, and they care about the same things over here as we do in the US, contrary to what the main stream media would have you believe. I used believe that China hates the environment and that everywhere you go was a toxic waste dump, I can tell you those days are rapidly moving to the past. That is the good news, the bad news, all of this comes at a cost, so your toasters, bicycles, and just about anything that is painted, dyed, or manufactured in China is going to cost more, but in my opinion this is a small price we all need to pay for the benefit of a much greater future.
Where are all of the (young) Workers
It used to be on these visits, when selecting random workers to interview, there was no shortage of young looking workers. However, years of the Chinese Government’s one child policy coupled with a rapidly expanding economy, higher standards of living, and new cultural ideas about success and work have create a crater in the labor pool. China has an aging manual labor force. In my estimation, the average age of the workers in the factories I have visited on this trip would be in their mid-40’s. The hardest workers to replace are skilled sowing machine operators and wielders. This modern manual labor shortage in China can be compared to my parents generation growing up in Pittsburgh. My grandparents worked in the mill, so my parents didn’t have to. That is what is going on here, especially when a family (as most do in China) only has one child or grand child. These children have four grandparents and two parents working some form of manual work, so that one child doesn’t have to. This is probably creating a super-millennial generation within China and wow that will be ugly when it all plays out.
To combat this trend, factory owners are forced to choose between two options. The first would be to relocate to a less industrialized country (like Vietnam, Cambodia, Bangladesh, etc). However, this can be expensive or impossible given the costs and physical challenges associated with actually relocating massive manufacturing facilities. Additionally there is a high risk around the availability of a skilled labor force in the new country and the costs to train people can be extremely expensive. Option two is to modernize, streamline and ultimately completely turn your factory into a robotic production line…and this is where it manufacturing in China is quickly moving. What does this mean for all of us, well a couple of things. Personally, I am going to look at investment opportunities with company’s that build these manufacturing robots. Secondly, it means that Western countries can and will be able to compete again in the future. It will no longer make sense when factoring in the transportation costs to produce in China when the US for example could build highly automated factories much closer to home and produce goods at the same cost. I am certainly going to encourage my children to consider a future in robotic technologies, computer engineering or systems automation.
Where’s the Rice
On this trip I have now had two breakfasts, three lunches and two dinners in China (and a similar trend was observed in Hong Kong) without rice…and I mean NO RICE. I am talking the serious sit down at a huge table, with a big lazy susan, 12+ course traditional Chinese meals, none of which have been accompanied by rice. It’s strikingly remarkable. I ask about it at just about every meal and the answer is almost always the same. In this rapidly growing economy people no longer what to fill up on the “cheap stuff”, so they have shunned rice for more expensive choices when dining out. Secondly, people all say that they are watching their carb intake and no longer think of rice as healthy. On a final note of observation, I am very happy to report that noticeably absent from all of these meals, that used to be everywhere in China before is the smooking. Probably due to signs like this!